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Clermont Foot vs Bastia – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 14 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Gabriel-Montpied

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

32%

Clermont Foot

3.16

31%

Draw

3.25

38%

Bastia

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Clermont Foot xG

Total xG

2.00

1.06

Bastia xG

32%
31%
38%
Clermont FootDrawBastia

3.16

32%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

35%

Clermont Foot

2.87

39%

Bastia

2.57

Win to Nil

11%

Clermont Foot

9.08

15%

Bastia

6.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 14.3 7.5 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 12.8 13.5 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 6.0 6.4 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.944
λ Away (xG) 1.056
Total xG 2.000
League avg home goals 1.270
League avg away goals 1.041
Clermont Foot attack strength 0.783
Clermont Foot defence strength 1.092
Bastia attack strength 0.929
Bastia defence strength 0.949
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 60