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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

13:00

Venue

Stade Michel d'Ornano

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Metz Win

23%

Caen

4.40

28%

Draw

3.63

50%

Metz

2.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.84

Caen xG

Total xG

2.22

1.39

Metz xG

23%
28%
50%
CaenDrawMetz

4.40

23%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

2.01

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

25%

Caen

3.99

43%

Metz

2.31

Win to Nil

6%

Caen

17.57

21%

Metz

4.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 15.0 10.4 4.8 1.7 0.5
1 9.1 12.6 8.7 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 3.8 5.3 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2
3 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.839
λ Away (xG) 1.385
Total xG 2.224
League avg home goals 1.354
League avg away goals 1.033
Caen attack strength 0.716
Caen defence strength 1.142
Metz attack strength 1.174
Metz defence strength 0.865
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 28