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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Mon 10 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Michel d'Ornano

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dunkerque Win

28%

Caen

3.61

29%

Draw

3.42

43%

Dunkerque

2.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Caen xG

Total xG

2.13

1.22

Dunkerque xG

28%
29%
43%
CaenDrawDunkerque

3.61

28%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

2.33

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

30%

Caen

3.37

40%

Dunkerque

2.49

Win to Nil

8%

Caen

12.16

17%

Dunkerque

5.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 14.5 8.8 3.6 1.1 0.3
1 10.9 13.2 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 5.0 6.0 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
3 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.914
λ Away (xG) 1.215
Total xG 2.129
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 1.034
Caen attack strength 0.750
Caen defence strength 1.047
Dunkerque attack strength 1.121
Dunkerque defence strength 0.953
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59