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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Reims run riot with a 2-6 hammering of Boulogne.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Reims beat Boulogne 2-6 at Stade de la Libération, Regular Season - 12, in the Ligue 2. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Boulogne 1.26 xG and Reims 1.51 xG, a combined 2.78. The scoreboard read 2-6 for 8 actual goals. Reims outscored their 1.51 projection by 4.5. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Boulogne attack 0.81 / defence 1.28 against Reims attack 0.96 / defence 1.28, drawn from 11/11 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Boulogne 32% | Draw 25% | Reims 43%, with Reims to win its most likely call at 43%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 8, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. Over 3.5 was 30% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Boulogne 54%, Reims 46%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Boulogne's trading profile (13 games, 7 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did.

Reims's trading profile (13 games, 7 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Boulogne 1.00 PPG, Reims 1.31 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Reims win broke the near-deadlock. Boulogne (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.86 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 6 against a 1.86 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Reims (home/away splits) scored 6 against a 1.29 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights