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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 24 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand-Césari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

54%

Bastia

1.86

26%

Draw

3.90

21%

PAU

4.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Bastia xG

Total xG

2.40

0.85

PAU xG

54%
26%
21%
BastiaDrawPAU

1.86

54%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

4.83

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

43%

Bastia

2.35

21%

PAU

4.70

Win to Nil

23%

Bastia

4.38

4%

PAU

22.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 7.7 3.3 0.9 0.2
1 14.0 12.0 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.3 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 5.6 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.2 1.8 0.8 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.547
λ Away (xG) 0.854
Total xG 2.401
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.014
Bastia attack strength 1.195
Bastia defence strength 0.857
PAU attack strength 0.983
PAU defence strength 0.999
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57