Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 30 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand Cesari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nancy Win

35%

Bastia

2.86

28%

Draw

3.58

37%

Nancy

2.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.3%

Away win

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Bastia xG

Total xG

2.36

1.20

Nancy xG

35%
28%
37%
BastiaDrawNancy

2.86

35%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.69

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

30%

Bastia

3.33

31%

Nancy

3.18

Win to Nil

10%

Bastia

9.55

12%

Nancy

8.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 11.3 6.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.9 13.1 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.3 7.6 4.6 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 2.4 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.158
λ Away (xG) 1.204
Total xG 2.362
League avg home goals 1.235
League avg away goals 1.188
Bastia attack strength 0.759
Bastia defence strength 1.142
Nancy attack strength 0.887
Nancy defence strength 1.235
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 20