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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand Cesari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Mans Win

29%

Bastia

3.40

33%

Draw

3.03

38%

Le Mans

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.0%

Away win

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Bastia xG

Total xG

2.22

1.19

Le Mans xG

29%
33%
38%
BastiaDrawLe Mans

3.40

29%

Home win

3.03

33%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

30%

Bastia

3.29

36%

Le Mans

2.79

Win to Nil

9%

Bastia

11.19

13%

Le Mans

7.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 13.0 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 11.2 13.3 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 5.7 6.8 4.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 2.0 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.026
λ Away (xG) 1.190
Total xG 2.216
League avg home goals 1.205
League avg away goals 1.255
Bastia attack strength 0.751
Bastia defence strength 0.899
Le Mans attack strength 1.055
Le Mans defence strength 1.134
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 33