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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand Cesari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grenoble Win

33%

Bastia

3.02

25%

Draw

3.93

41%

Grenoble

2.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Bastia xG

Total xG

2.74

1.46

Grenoble xG

33%
25%
41%
BastiaDrawGrenoble

3.02

33%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

2.42

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

23%

Bastia

4.31

28%

Grenoble

3.60

Win to Nil

8%

Bastia

13.00

11%

Grenoble

8.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 9.4 6.9 3.3 1.2 0.4
1 8.3 12.1 8.8 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 5.3 7.7 5.6 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 2.3 3.3 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.281
λ Away (xG) 1.461
Total xG 2.742
League avg home goals 1.238
League avg away goals 1.177
Bastia attack strength 0.850
Bastia defence strength 1.187
Grenoble attack strength 1.046
Grenoble defence strength 1.218
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 51