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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Fri 25 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand-Césari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

60%

Bastia

1.66

23%

Draw

4.30

17%

Grenoble

5.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Bastia xG

Total xG

2.54

0.79

Grenoble xG

60%
23%
17%
BastiaDrawGrenoble

1.66

60%

Home win

4.30

23%

Draw

5.99

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

45%

Bastia

2.21

17%

Grenoble

5.73

Win to Nil

27%

Bastia

3.68

3%

Grenoble

34.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 6.3 2.5 0.7 0.1
1 13.8 10.9 4.3 1.1 0.2
2 12.0 9.5 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 7.0 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 3.1 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.746
λ Away (xG) 0.793
Total xG 2.539
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.100
Bastia attack strength 1.264
Bastia defence strength 0.815
Grenoble attack strength 0.886
Grenoble defence strength 0.995
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69