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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 28 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Armand-Césari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

52%

Bastia

1.92

26%

Draw

3.89

22%

Dunkerque

4.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Bastia xG

Total xG

2.44

0.91

Dunkerque xG

52%
26%
22%
BastiaDrawDunkerque

1.92

52%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

4.51

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

40%

Bastia

2.47

21%

Dunkerque

4.66

Win to Nil

21%

Bastia

4.74

5%

Dunkerque

21.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 7.9 3.6 1.1 0.2
1 13.4 12.1 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.3 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.3 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.1
4 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.539
λ Away (xG) 0.905
Total xG 2.444
League avg home goals 1.338
League avg away goals 1.061
Bastia attack strength 1.011
Bastia defence strength 0.761
Dunkerque attack strength 1.121
Dunkerque defence strength 1.138
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65