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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade Armand-Césari

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

67%

Bastia

1.48

18%

Draw

5.58

15%

Caen

6.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

1 – 1

8.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.38

Bastia xG

Total xG

3.40

1.02

Caen xG

67%
18%
15%
BastiaDrawCaen

1.48

67%

Home win

5.58

18%

Draw

6.85

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

36%

Bastia

2.77

9%

Caen

10.77

Win to Nil

24%

Bastia

4.10

1%

Caen

73.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 8.0 8.1 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
2 9.5 9.6 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 7.5 7.6 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 4.5 4.5 2.3 0.8 0.2
5 2.1 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.377
λ Away (xG) 1.019
Total xG 3.396
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.102
Bastia attack strength 1.244
Bastia defence strength 1.001
Caen attack strength 0.924
Caen defence strength 1.313
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71