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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Paul-Lignon

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Amiens Win

30%

Bastia

3.32

34%

Draw

2.98

36%

Amiens

2.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.2%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Bastia xG

Total xG

1.95

1.03

Amiens xG

30%
34%
36%
BastiaDrawAmiens

3.32

30%

Home win

2.98

34%

Draw

2.75

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

36%

Bastia

2.81

40%

Amiens

2.50

Win to Nil

11%

Bastia

9.33

15%

Amiens

6.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.2 14.7 7.6 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 13.0 13.5 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 6.0 6.2 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.916
λ Away (xG) 1.033
Total xG 1.949
League avg home goals 1.152
League avg away goals 1.169
Bastia attack strength 0.608
Bastia defence strength 1.037
Amiens attack strength 0.852
Amiens defence strength 1.307
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 62