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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Parc des Sports

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Annecy Win

47%

Annecy

2.12

27%

Draw

3.65

26%

Bastia

3.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Annecy xG

Total xG

2.32

0.94

Bastia xG

47%
27%
26%
AnnecyDrawBastia

2.12

47%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

3.92

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.20

54%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

39%

Annecy

2.55

25%

Bastia

3.97

Win to Nil

18%

Annecy

5.42

6%

Bastia

15.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 9.2 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.6 12.7 6.0 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 9.4 8.8 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.3 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.380
λ Away (xG) 0.937
Total xG 2.317
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.039
Annecy attack strength 0.895
Annecy defence strength 1.106
Bastia attack strength 0.815
Bastia defence strength 1.129
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66