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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade de la Licorne

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Amiens Win

42%

Amiens

2.37

28%

Draw

3.58

30%

Bastia

3.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Amiens xG

Total xG

2.34

1.04

Bastia xG

42%
28%
30%
AmiensDrawBastia

2.37

42%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

3.35

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

35%

Amiens

2.84

27%

Bastia

3.65

Win to Nil

15%

Amiens

6.73

8%

Bastia

12.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 10.1 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.5 13.0 6.8 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.1 8.4 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.296
λ Away (xG) 1.044
Total xG 2.340
League avg home goals 1.310
League avg away goals 1.098
Amiens attack strength 0.980
Amiens defence strength 1.167
Bastia attack strength 0.815
Bastia defence strength 1.009
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 37