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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Michel-Moretti

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajaccio Win

47%

Ajaccio

2.12

28%

Draw

3.62

25%

RED Star FC 93

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Ajaccio xG

Total xG

2.28

0.92

RED Star FC 93 xG

47%
28%
25%
AjaccioDrawRED Star FC 93

2.12

47%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

40%

Ajaccio

2.50

26%

RED Star FC 93

3.90

Win to Nil

19%

Ajaccio

5.30

6%

RED Star FC 93

15.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 9.4 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 14.0 12.8 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.5 8.7 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 4.3 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.361
λ Away (xG) 0.916
Total xG 2.277
League avg home goals 1.303
League avg away goals 1.070
Ajaccio attack strength 0.922
Ajaccio defence strength 1.104
RED Star FC 93 attack strength 0.775
RED Star FC 93 defence strength 1.133
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 26