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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Michel-Moretti

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajaccio Win

50%

Ajaccio

1.98

24%

Draw

4.21

26%

PAU

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Ajaccio xG

Total xG

2.89

1.17

PAU xG

50%
24%
26%
AjaccioDrawPAU

1.98

50%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

31%

Ajaccio

3.21

18%

PAU

5.62

Win to Nil

16%

Ajaccio

6.36

5%

PAU

21.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 6.5 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.6 11.2 6.5 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.6 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 4.8 5.5 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.1 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.2
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.727
λ Away (xG) 1.167
Total xG 2.894
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.088
Ajaccio attack strength 0.950
Ajaccio defence strength 1.087
PAU attack strength 0.987
PAU defence strength 1.293
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68