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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 2 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Michel-Moretti

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

35%

Ajaccio

2.86

28%

Draw

3.54

37%

Lorient

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Ajaccio xG

Total xG

2.31

1.18

Lorient xG

35%
28%
37%
AjaccioDrawLorient

2.86

35%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

31%

Ajaccio

3.24

32%

Lorient

3.12

Win to Nil

11%

Ajaccio

9.25

12%

Lorient

8.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 11.6 6.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.3 13.2 7.8 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.4 7.5 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.4 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.139
λ Away (xG) 1.175
Total xG 2.314
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.082
Ajaccio attack strength 0.911
Ajaccio defence strength 1.074
Lorient attack strength 1.011
Lorient defence strength 0.890
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 32