Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 17 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Michel-Moretti

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajaccio Win

42%

Ajaccio

2.38

30%

Draw

3.38

28%

Caen

3.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Ajaccio xG

Total xG

2.24

0.98

Caen xG

42%
30%
28%
AjaccioDrawCaen

2.38

42%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

3.53

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

37%

Ajaccio

2.67

28%

Caen

3.53

Win to Nil

16%

Ajaccio

6.35

8%

Caen

12.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 10.4 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.4 13.1 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.4 8.3 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.5 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.260
λ Away (xG) 0.983
Total xG 2.243
League avg home goals 1.305
League avg away goals 1.028
Ajaccio attack strength 0.818
Ajaccio defence strength 0.986
Caen attack strength 0.970
Caen defence strength 1.181
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56