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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

49%

Toulouse

2.05

23%

Draw

4.28

28%

Stade Brestois 29

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Toulouse xG

Total xG

3.04

1.28

Stade Brestois 29 xG

49%
23%
28%
ToulouseDrawStade Brestois 29

2.05

49%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

28%

Toulouse

3.59

17%

Stade Brestois 29

5.81

Win to Nil

14%

Toulouse

7.36

5%

Stade Brestois 29

20.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.1 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.4 10.8 6.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.5 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.4 5.6 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.759
λ Away (xG) 1.277
Total xG 3.036
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.173
Toulouse attack strength 0.938
Toulouse defence strength 1.052
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.035
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.178
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35