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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

20:05

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

15%

Toulouse

6.49

24%

Draw

4.16

61%

Paris Saint Germain

1.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

9.6%

Away win

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Toulouse xG

Total xG

3.17

2.13

Paris Saint Germain xG

15%
24%
61%
ToulouseDrawParis Saint Germain

6.49

15%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

1.65

61%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

12%

Toulouse

8.45

36%

Paris Saint Germain

2.82

Win to Nil

2%

Toulouse

54.79

21%

Paris Saint Germain

4.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 9.0 9.6 6.8 3.6 1.6
1 4.4 9.3 9.9 7.0 3.8 1.6
2 2.3 4.8 5.1 3.6 1.9 0.8
3 0.8 1.7 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.3
4 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.035
λ Away (xG) 2.134
Total xG 3.169
League avg home goals 1.567
League avg away goals 1.309
Toulouse attack strength 0.795
Toulouse defence strength 1.012
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.611
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.831
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55