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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 2 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

32%

Toulouse

3.12

29%

Draw

3.41

39%

Nice

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.92

1.53

Nice xG

32%
29%
39%
ToulouseDrawNice

3.12

32%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

22%

Toulouse

4.63

25%

Nice

3.99

Win to Nil

7%

Toulouse

14.48

10%

Nice

10.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 8.3 6.4 3.3 1.2 0.4
1 7.5 11.5 8.8 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 5.2 7.9 6.1 3.1 1.2 0.4
3 2.4 3.7 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.383
λ Away (xG) 1.533
Total xG 2.916
League avg home goals 1.510
League avg away goals 1.312
Toulouse attack strength 0.826
Toulouse defence strength 1.038
Nice attack strength 1.125
Nice defence strength 1.109
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53