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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

48%

Toulouse

2.09

24%

Draw

4.20

28%

Nantes

3.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.97

1.26

Nantes xG

48%
24%
28%
ToulouseDrawNantes

2.09

48%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

3.53

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

28%

Toulouse

3.53

18%

Nantes

5.51

Win to Nil

14%

Toulouse

7.38

5%

Nantes

19.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.5 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.8 11.1 7.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.4 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.3 5.4 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.706
λ Away (xG) 1.262
Total xG 2.968
League avg home goals 1.733
League avg away goals 1.203
Toulouse attack strength 1.076
Toulouse defence strength 1.329
Nantes attack strength 0.789
Nantes defence strength 0.915
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39