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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

54%

Toulouse

1.85

30%

Draw

3.31

16%

Montpellier

6.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.8%

Home win

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.37

0.78

Montpellier xG

54%
30%
16%
ToulouseDrawMontpellier

1.85

54%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

6.32

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

46%

Toulouse

2.19

20%

Montpellier

4.89

Win to Nil

25%

Toulouse

4.05

3%

Montpellier

30.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 7.3 2.9 0.7 0.1
1 14.9 11.6 4.5 1.2 0.2
2 11.8 9.2 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 6.2 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.5 1.9 0.8 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.587
λ Away (xG) 0.782
Total xG 2.369
League avg home goals 1.497
League avg away goals 1.288
Toulouse attack strength 0.873
Toulouse defence strength 0.941
Montpellier attack strength 0.645
Montpellier defence strength 1.215
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52