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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

36%

Toulouse

2.77

29%

Draw

3.41

35%

Monaco

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.53

1.25

Monaco xG

36%
29%
35%
ToulouseDrawMonaco

2.77

36%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.90

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

29%

Toulouse

3.49

28%

Monaco

3.60

Win to Nil

10%

Toulouse

9.66

10%

Monaco

10.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.9 6.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.2 12.7 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.5 8.2 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.282
λ Away (xG) 1.249
Total xG 2.531
League avg home goals 1.563
League avg away goals 1.401
Toulouse attack strength 0.758
Toulouse defence strength 0.904
Monaco attack strength 0.985
Monaco defence strength 1.082
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58