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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

25%

Toulouse

3.92

25%

Draw

3.96

49%

Lens

2.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.62

1.57

Lens xG

25%
25%
49%
ToulouseDrawLens

3.92

25%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

2.03

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

21%

Toulouse

4.81

35%

Lens

2.87

Win to Nil

5%

Toulouse

18.86

17%

Lens

5.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 11.4 8.9 4.7 1.8 0.6
1 7.6 12.0 9.4 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.0 6.3 5.0 2.6 1.0 0.3
3 1.4 2.2 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.054
λ Away (xG) 1.570
Total xG 2.624
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.412
Toulouse attack strength 0.911
Toulouse defence strength 1.062
Lens attack strength 1.047
Lens defence strength 0.798
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66