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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 6 Mar 2027

16:00

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

48%

Toulouse

2.09

27%

Draw

3.71

25%

Le Mans

3.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.81

1.15

Le Mans xG

48%
27%
25%
ToulouseDrawLe Mans

2.09

48%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

3.97

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

32%

Toulouse

3.17

19%

Le Mans

5.25

Win to Nil

15%

Toulouse

6.63

5%

Le Mans

20.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 6.9 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.0 11.5 6.6 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.5 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.6 5.3 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.659
λ Away (xG) 1.154
Total xG 2.813
League avg home goals 1.520
League avg away goals 1.329
Toulouse attack strength 0.949
Toulouse defence strength 1.022
Le Mans attack strength 0.850
Le Mans defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 0