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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Stalemate at Strasbourg's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Stade de la Meinau, Regular Season - 26, as Strasbourg and Paris FC drew 0-0 in the Ligue 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Strasbourg 1.50 xG and Paris FC 0.91 xG, a combined 2.40. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Strasbourg fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Paris FC landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Strasbourg attack 1.09 / defence 0.89 against Paris FC attack 0.87 / defence 0.97, drawn from 59/25 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Strasbourg 51% | Draw 26% | Paris FC 23%, with Strasbourg to win its most likely call at 51%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 69% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Strasbourg 59%, Paris FC 49%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Strasbourg's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and duly kept one.

Paris FC's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Strasbourg 1.58 PPG, Paris FC 1.63 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Strasbourg (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.86 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Paris FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.14 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.24 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights