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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

Stade de la Meinau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Strasbourg Win

73%

Strasbourg

1.37

16%

Draw

6.22

11%

Metz

9.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

3 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.49

Strasbourg xG

Total xG

3.35

0.85

Metz xG

73%
16%
StrasbourgDrawMetz

1.37

73%

Home win

6.22

16%

Draw

9.26

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

43%

Strasbourg

2.35

8%

Metz

12.09

Win to Nil

31%

Strasbourg

3.21

1%

Metz

111.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.8 7.5 3.2 0.9 0.2
2 10.9 9.3 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 9.1 7.8 3.3 0.9 0.2
4 5.7 4.8 2.1 0.6 0.1
5 2.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.492
λ Away (xG) 0.854
Total xG 3.346
League avg home goals 1.568
League avg away goals 1.233
Strasbourg attack strength 1.015
Strasbourg defence strength 0.782
Metz attack strength 0.886
Metz defence strength 1.567
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 17