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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 27 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Stade de la Meinau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

35%

Strasbourg

2.86

25%

Draw

4.06

40%

Lens

2.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

0 – 1

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Strasbourg xG

Total xG

2.92

1.52

Lens xG

35%
25%
40%
StrasbourgDrawLens

2.86

35%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

2.47

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

22%

Strasbourg

4.57

25%

Lens

4.04

Win to Nil

8%

Strasbourg

13.09

10%

Lens

9.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 8.2 6.3 3.2 1.2 0.4
1 7.6 11.5 8.7 4.4 1.7 0.5
2 5.3 8.0 6.1 3.1 1.2 0.4
3 2.5 3.7 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.396
λ Away (xG) 1.520
Total xG 2.916
League avg home goals 1.515
League avg away goals 1.223
Strasbourg attack strength 1.098
Strasbourg defence strength 0.892
Lens attack strength 1.393
Lens defence strength 0.840
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57