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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Meinau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Strasbourg Win

52%

Strasbourg

1.92

23%

Draw

4.39

25%

Le Havre

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Strasbourg xG

Total xG

3.07

1.22

Le Havre xG

52%
23%
25%
StrasbourgDrawLe Havre

1.92

52%

Home win

4.39

23%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

29%

Strasbourg

3.40

16%

Le Havre

6.34

Win to Nil

15%

Strasbourg

6.54

4%

Le Havre

25.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 5.7 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 8.6 10.5 6.4 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.9 6.0 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.2 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.847
λ Away (xG) 1.224
Total xG 3.071
League avg home goals 1.668
League avg away goals 1.269
Strasbourg attack strength 1.018
Strasbourg defence strength 0.893
Le Havre attack strength 1.080
Le Havre defence strength 1.088
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37