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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

18:00

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

46%

Stade Brestois 29

2.16

25%

Draw

3.95

28%

Rennes

3.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

2.69

1.15

Rennes xG

46%
25%
28%
Stade Brestois 29DrawRennes

2.16

46%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

3.52

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

32%

Stade Brestois 29

3.16

21%

Rennes

4.66

Win to Nil

15%

Stade Brestois 29

6.83

6%

Rennes

16.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 7.8 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.4 12.0 6.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.3 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.1 4.8 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.540
λ Away (xG) 1.151
Total xG 2.691
League avg home goals 1.450
League avg away goals 1.217
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.016
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 0.782
Rennes attack strength 1.210
Rennes defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61