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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

34%

Stade Brestois 29

2.96

24%

Draw

4.21

42%

Paris Saint Germain

2.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

3.09

1.65

Paris Saint Germain xG

34%
24%
42%
Stade Brestois 29DrawParis Saint Germain

2.96

34%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

2.35

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.61

Clean Sheet

19%

Stade Brestois 29

5.18

24%

Paris Saint Germain

4.23

Win to Nil

7%

Stade Brestois 29

15.36

10%

Paris Saint Germain

9.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 7.5 6.2 3.4 1.4 0.5
1 6.6 10.8 8.9 4.9 2.0 0.7
2 4.7 7.8 6.4 3.5 1.4 0.5
3 2.3 3.8 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.443
λ Away (xG) 1.645
Total xG 3.088
League avg home goals 1.710
League avg away goals 1.286
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.043
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 0.987
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.296
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.809
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42