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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

33%

Stade Brestois 29

3.00

28%

Draw

3.53

38%

Paris Saint Germain

2.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

3.10

1.61

Paris Saint Germain xG

33%
28%
38%
Stade Brestois 29DrawParis Saint Germain

3.00

33%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

2.61

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.80

Clean Sheet

20%

Stade Brestois 29

5.00

22%

Paris Saint Germain

4.45

Win to Nil

7%

Stade Brestois 29

15.00

9%

Paris Saint Germain

11.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 7.2 5.8 3.1 1.3 0.4
1 6.7 10.8 8.7 4.7 1.9 0.6
2 5.0 8.1 6.5 3.5 1.4 0.5
3 2.5 4.0 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.492
λ Away (xG) 1.609
Total xG 3.101
League avg home goals 1.478
League avg away goals 1.268
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.216
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 0.884
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.435
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.831
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53