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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

67%

Stade Brestois 29

1.49

17%

Draw

5.74

15%

Paris FC

6.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.3%

Home win

3 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.50

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

3.63

1.13

Paris FC xG

67%
17%
15%
Stade Brestois 29DrawParis FC

1.49

67%

Home win

5.74

17%

Draw

6.53

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

32%

Stade Brestois 29

3.09

8%

Paris FC

12.17

Win to Nil

22%

Stade Brestois 29

4.59

1%

Paris FC

79.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 6.7 7.5 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 8.3 9.4 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 6.9 7.8 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 4.3 4.9 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 2.2 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.499
λ Away (xG) 1.127
Total xG 3.626
League avg home goals 1.668
League avg away goals 1.269
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.142
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.051
Paris FC attack strength 0.844
Paris FC defence strength 1.312
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 3