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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

53%

Stade Brestois 29

1.90

23%

Draw

4.37

24%

Nantes

4.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

3.01

1.18

Nantes xG

53%
23%
24%
Stade Brestois 29DrawNantes

1.90

53%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

4.09

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

31%

Stade Brestois 29

3.25

16%

Nantes

6.26

Win to Nil

16%

Stade Brestois 29

6.18

4%

Nantes

25.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 5.8 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.0 10.6 6.3 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.7 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.0 6.0 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.834
λ Away (xG) 1.180
Total xG 3.014
League avg home goals 1.617
League avg away goals 1.185
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.170
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.139
Nantes attack strength 0.874
Nantes defence strength 0.970
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40