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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

16:00

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

49%

Stade Brestois 29

2.06

28%

Draw

3.55

23%

Nantes

4.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

2.65

1.05

Nantes xG

49%
28%
23%
Stade Brestois 29DrawNantes

2.06

49%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

4.30

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

35%

Stade Brestois 29

2.85

20%

Nantes

4.95

Win to Nil

17%

Stade Brestois 29

5.86

5%

Nantes

21.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 7.4 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.3 11.9 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.5 5.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.8 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.599
λ Away (xG) 1.047
Total xG 2.646
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.273
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.035
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 0.902
Nantes attack strength 0.912
Nantes defence strength 1.041
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48