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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

66%

Stade Brestois 29

1.52

20%

Draw

4.96

14%

Montpellier

7.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.03

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

2.84

0.81

Montpellier xG

66%
20%
14%
Stade Brestois 29DrawMontpellier

1.52

66%

Home win

4.96

20%

Draw

7.17

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

44%

Stade Brestois 29

2.25

13%

Montpellier

7.64

Win to Nil

29%

Stade Brestois 29

3.41

2%

Montpellier

54.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 4.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.8 9.6 3.9 1.0 0.2
2 12.0 9.8 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 8.2 6.6 2.7 0.7 0.1
4 4.2 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.034
λ Away (xG) 0.810
Total xG 2.844
League avg home goals 1.475
League avg away goals 1.407
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.100
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.051
Montpellier attack strength 0.548
Montpellier defence strength 1.253
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65