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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

44%

Stade Brestois 29

2.27

22%

Draw

4.52

34%

Monaco

2.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

3.49

1.62

Monaco xG

44%
22%
34%
Stade Brestois 29DrawMonaco

2.27

44%

Home win

4.52

22%

Draw

2.96

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.11

Clean Sheet

20%

Stade Brestois 29

5.05

15%

Monaco

6.49

Win to Nil

9%

Stade Brestois 29

11.47

5%

Monaco

19.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 4.9 4.0 2.2 0.9 0.3
1 5.7 9.2 7.5 4.0 1.6 0.5
2 5.3 8.6 7.0 3.8 1.5 0.5
3 3.3 5.4 4.4 2.4 1.0 0.3
4 1.6 2.5 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.871
λ Away (xG) 1.620
Total xG 3.491
League avg home goals 1.635
League avg away goals 1.210
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.893
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.117
Monaco attack strength 1.200
Monaco defence strength 1.281
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48