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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

46%

Stade Brestois 29

2.19

24%

Draw

4.08

30%

Monaco

3.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

2.94

1.29

Monaco xG

46%
24%
30%
Stade Brestois 29DrawMonaco

2.19

46%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

3.36

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

28%

Stade Brestois 29

3.63

19%

Monaco

5.20

Win to Nil

13%

Stade Brestois 29

7.93

6%

Monaco

17.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.8 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.7 11.3 7.3 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.3 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.0 5.1 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.649
λ Away (xG) 1.288
Total xG 2.937
League avg home goals 1.486
League avg away goals 1.419
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.083
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 0.932
Monaco attack strength 0.974
Monaco defence strength 1.024
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61