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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

37%

Stade Brestois 29

2.68

26%

Draw

3.83

37%

Lille

2.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

2.65

1.32

Lille xG

37%
26%
37%
Stade Brestois 29DrawLille

2.68

37%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

2.73

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

27%

Stade Brestois 29

3.73

26%

Lille

3.78

Win to Nil

10%

Stade Brestois 29

10.01

10%

Lille

10.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 9.3 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.4 12.4 8.2 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 8.3 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.8 3.7 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.331
λ Away (xG) 1.317
Total xG 2.648
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.412
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.043
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 0.987
Lille attack strength 0.945
Lille defence strength 0.881
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66