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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 24 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

43%

Stade Brestois 29

2.35

26%

Draw

3.78

31%

Lens

3.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

3.09

1.41

Lens xG

43%
26%
31%
Stade Brestois 29DrawLens

2.35

43%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

3.23

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

24%

Stade Brestois 29

4.09

19%

Lens

5.35

Win to Nil

10%

Stade Brestois 29

9.61

6%

Lens

17.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 6.4 4.5 2.1 0.8 0.2
1 7.7 10.8 7.6 3.6 1.3 0.4
2 6.4 9.1 6.4 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.6 5.1 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.5 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.677
λ Away (xG) 1.409
Total xG 3.086
League avg home goals 1.443
League avg away goals 1.226
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.119
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.003
Lens attack strength 1.146
Lens defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63