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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

44%

Stade Brestois 29

2.27

27%

Draw

3.74

29%

Lens

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

2.47

1.08

Lens xG

44%
27%
29%
Stade Brestois 29DrawLens

2.27

44%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

34%

Stade Brestois 29

2.95

25%

Lens

4.02

Win to Nil

15%

Stade Brestois 29

6.69

7%

Lens

13.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 9.1 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.7 12.7 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.2 8.8 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.8 4.1 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.392
λ Away (xG) 1.081
Total xG 2.473
League avg home goals 1.490
League avg away goals 1.438
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.115
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 0.905
Lens attack strength 0.831
Lens defence strength 0.838
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63