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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

48%

Stade Brestois 29

2.07

25%

Draw

4.01

27%

Angers

3.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

3.00

1.25

Angers xG

48%
25%
27%
Stade Brestois 29DrawAngers

2.07

48%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

3.73

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

29%

Stade Brestois 29

3.51

17%

Angers

5.74

Win to Nil

14%

Stade Brestois 29

7.27

5%

Angers

21.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.2 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.7 10.9 6.8 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.5 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.4 5.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.748
λ Away (xG) 1.255
Total xG 3.003
League avg home goals 1.539
League avg away goals 1.408
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.162
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.100
Angers attack strength 0.810
Angers defence strength 0.977
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 24