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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Saint Etienne Win

44%

Saint Etienne

2.26

29%

Draw

3.42

27%

Nantes

3.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

2.65

1.13

Nantes xG

44%
29%
27%
Saint EtienneDrawNantes

2.26

44%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

3.76

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

32%

Saint Etienne

3.11

22%

Nantes

4.54

Win to Nil

14%

Saint Etienne

7.04

6%

Nantes

17.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 8.0 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.7 12.2 6.9 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 9.2 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.1 4.6 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.513
λ Away (xG) 1.134
Total xG 2.647
League avg home goals 1.530
League avg away goals 1.312
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.889
Saint Etienne defence strength 0.942
Nantes attack strength 0.918
Nantes defence strength 1.112
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 51