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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

20:05

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

33%

Saint Etienne

3.05

23%

Draw

4.33

44%

Monaco

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

3.28

1.77

Monaco xG

33%
23%
44%
Saint EtienneDrawMonaco

3.05

33%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.83

Clean Sheet

17%

Saint Etienne

5.89

22%

Monaco

4.51

Win to Nil

6%

Saint Etienne

17.94

10%

Monaco

10.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 6.7 5.9 3.5 1.6 0.5
1 5.7 10.1 8.9 5.3 2.3 0.8
2 4.3 7.6 6.7 4.0 1.8 0.6
3 2.1 3.8 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.3
4 0.8 1.4 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.506
λ Away (xG) 1.773
Total xG 3.279
League avg home goals 1.490
League avg away goals 1.397
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.987
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.412
Monaco attack strength 0.899
Monaco defence strength 1.024
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 65