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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Roazhon Park

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

45%

Rennes

2.24

25%

Draw

4.03

31%

Nantes

3.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Rennes xG

Total xG

2.82

1.25

Nantes xG

45%
25%
31%
RennesDrawNantes

2.24

45%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

3.27

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

29%

Rennes

3.50

21%

Nantes

4.78

Win to Nil

13%

Rennes

7.86

6%

Nantes

15.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 7.5 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
1 9.3 11.7 7.3 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.2 5.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.8 4.8 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.565
λ Away (xG) 1.254
Total xG 2.819
League avg home goals 1.473
League avg away goals 1.448
Rennes attack strength 0.817
Rennes defence strength 0.956
Nantes attack strength 0.906
Nantes defence strength 1.300
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 62