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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

16:15

Venue

Roazhon Park

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

70%

Rennes

1.42

18%

Draw

5.66

12%

Metz

8.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.30

Rennes xG

Total xG

3.13

0.83

Metz xG

70%
18%
12%
RennesDrawMetz

1.42

70%

Home win

5.66

18%

Draw

8.38

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

44%

Rennes

2.30

10%

Metz

9.96

Win to Nil

31%

Rennes

3.26

1%

Metz

83.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.1 8.4 3.5 1.0 0.2
2 11.6 9.6 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 8.9 7.4 3.1 0.8 0.2
4 5.1 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
5 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.299
λ Away (xG) 0.831
Total xG 3.130
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.196
Rennes attack strength 1.112
Rennes defence strength 0.975
Metz attack strength 0.713
Metz defence strength 1.445
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 26