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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 15 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Roazhon Park

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

43%

Rennes

2.31

25%

Draw

4.01

32%

Marseille

3.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Rennes xG

Total xG

2.87

1.31

Marseille xG

43%
25%
32%
RennesDrawMarseille

2.31

43%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

3.14

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

27%

Rennes

3.71

21%

Marseille

4.78

Win to Nil

12%

Rennes

8.57

7%

Marseille

15.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 7.4 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.8 11.6 7.6 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.0 5.9 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 3.6 4.7 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.564
λ Away (xG) 1.310
Total xG 2.874
League avg home goals 1.627
League avg away goals 1.378
Rennes attack strength 0.943
Rennes defence strength 0.936
Marseille attack strength 1.015
Marseille defence strength 1.019
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34