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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

20:05

Venue

Roazhon Park

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Marseille Win

32%

Rennes

3.10

27%

Draw

3.68

41%

Marseille

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

0 – 1

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Rennes xG

Total xG

2.98

1.58

Marseille xG

32%
27%
41%
RennesDrawMarseille

3.10

32%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.58

Clean Sheet

20%

Rennes

4.88

25%

Marseille

4.03

Win to Nil

7%

Rennes

15.15

10%

Marseille

9.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 8.1 6.4 3.4 1.3 0.4
1 7.1 11.2 8.9 4.7 1.9 0.6
2 4.9 7.8 6.2 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.3 3.6 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.395
λ Away (xG) 1.585
Total xG 2.980
League avg home goals 1.576
League avg away goals 1.290
Rennes attack strength 1.147
Rennes defence strength 0.821
Marseille attack strength 1.497
Marseille defence strength 0.772
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50