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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Roazhon Park

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

41%

Rennes

2.47

28%

Draw

3.62

32%

Lyon

3.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Rennes xG

Total xG

2.38

1.10

Lyon xG

41%
28%
32%
RennesDrawLyon

2.47

41%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.14

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

33%

Rennes

3.01

28%

Lyon

3.60

Win to Nil

13%

Rennes

7.43

9%

Lyon

11.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 10.2 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.8 13.0 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.6 8.3 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.2 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.282
λ Away (xG) 1.102
Total xG 2.384
League avg home goals 1.635
League avg away goals 1.237
Rennes attack strength 0.920
Rennes defence strength 0.861
Lyon attack strength 1.036
Lyon defence strength 0.852
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37